Tuesday, May 6, 2025

Fallout TV Show Sparks Debate Over Who Dropped the Bombs First — Here Are the Fan Theories



Warning: spoilers for the Fallout TV show follow.

If you watched the Fallout TV show as a fan of the video games upon which it’s based, one revelation in particular will have caught your eye: who dropped the bombs first on that fateful day in 2077.

Fallout’s nuclear apocalypse was thought to have been triggered by China going first. Tim Cain, co-creator of Fallout, said in an interview last year that it was indeed China who dropped the first nuke. "The reason we got nuked is: bio-weapons were illegal and somehow China found out we were doing FEV [Forced Evolutionary Virus]," Cain explained in an interview with Fallout lore expert TKs-Mantis. "And they were like, 'you have to stop it.' And we went, 'OK.' And all we did is move it. All we did was move it over."

But the Fallout TV show heavily suggests Vault-Tec, the evil corporate manufacturer of Fallout’s famous vaults, triggered the nuclear war by dropping bombs of its own — essentially for profit.

This megaton has sent shockwaves throughout the Fallout lore community, but there is a groundswell of opinion that Vault-Tec shooting first is a misdirection. For a start, if Vault-Tec started the war by dropping the first bomb, wouldn’t Barb, a high-up executive privy to the company’s plan, have ensured Cooper Howard and their daughter were safe within a vault and not outside at a kid’s party before pushing the big red button?

This contradiction raises the question: did Vault-Tec in-fact drop the first bomb? Or was the company caught off guard by, for example, China going first unexpectedly hours earlier? That’s the theory suggested by redditor Corpolentusmaximus2, who points to Obsidian's 2010 game Fallout New Vegas to back up the claim. In New Vegas, antagonist Mr. House reveals he miscalculated the Great War by 20 hours. The Fallout TV show confirms Mr. House was in the room when Vault-Tec revealed its dastardly plan. Perhaps everyone was caught off guard by China going “early.”

Fans are now hoping to see more of the backstory to the nuclear war in the confirmed Fallout Season 2, which we know will include one of Fallout’s iconic monsters. It seems inevitable that we’ll get more pre-war Cooper Howard, since his separation from Barb and the events leading up to Season 1’s opening go unexplained in Season 1. But there are other unanswered questions following Fallout Season 1, including about the Snake Oil Salesman’s mysterious serum.

Wesley is the UK News Editor for IGN. Find him on Twitter at @wyp100. You can reach Wesley at [email protected] or confidentially at [email protected].



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